S.O.S

Aggregation vs Composition

edeast — Mon, 16 Jan 2012 03:39:01 +0000

Two key things that I want to understand,

for aggregation see work on category theory work on indexes his new one is out.

for composition see process algebra,

key things to figure out, bisimulation, probability theory d seperation criteria(judea pearl).

Essay Style.

Nick Rowe argues against gdp, or something, and I wonder very 3rd fucking person like, if the process algebras can help as a formalism for dealing with macroeconomics, I have for a while, just now seems like a good opportunity to spring it. For no good reason other than he mentioned composition vs aggregation in a comment to Bill Woolseyy.

The zipper, real line, real time, heterogenous systems, and economic theory. Flame bait, phd primer, and intellectual honey pot all in one. Why this goal? because of fucking fackts.

SAWEET, bullshit, fuck fuck fuck.

fuck

JUVENILE DELinquency never appealed to me, the late onset kind was too tempting.

MY writing has not improved with age, or income.

I can’t focus for too long? too being > long being 3 seconds? twisted parsers spriral through house of fucking leaves no cute references allowed. fuck poets.

fuck poets should be a bumber sticker, they’d like that.

ok back On point.

the process algebras, big three ( ACP, CCS, CSP) are formalisms for describing.
^ subjective and subjectively untrue as well, i like the pi, quit guessing your audience
^ u quit apologizing for existence, very lame.
^ !necessary

human effort is all heat and no light. formalism analytic philosophy, provides cut outs, that let the heat hit us in a consistent fation;

fation: new type of particle, ask the h’s. husserl, the guy after him with the ready to hand stuff(es gibt muther fucker), then for kicks hemmingway, ((tag-on)and yet intriqing!)

The consistent fation, gives rise (don’t say that shit, you will ruin minds). I want to say that the acceptance of the cut-outs and the corresponding hits of fation, creates light. Beauty, truth.

Self-conscious writing is like the zipper. A well defined

Wikileaks.

edeast — Wed, 01 Dec 2010 05:20:04 +0000

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates reaction.

On Julian Assange

By Julian Assange

Anti:

http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2010/12/shield/

Pro:

china, reserve raise.

edeast — Fri, 26 Nov 2010 15:44:42 +0000

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2010/11/26/417196/a-cash-crunch-in-china/

http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/unsound-money-in-china/2010/11/25/

north korea, monetary policy

2009

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/north-koreans-dare-to-protest-as-devaluation-wipes-out-savings-1833156.html

Chinese reactions to North Korea Shelling

edeast — Thu, 25 Nov 2010 18:47:53 +0000

I thought this comment at china smack was interesting.

“I think in the current situation of the Kim family completely siding/aligning with China, this instance of the northern bangzi artillery attack must’ve been been done with China being previously notified, and it is even possible that it was with China’s encouragement, the benefits being:

1. After America’s 600 billion quantitative easing, international hot money is eying China. If war happens on the Korean Peninsula, this hot money will think twice about entering China.

2. Domestic inflation has recently been out of control, so the go-vern-ment purposely slowing down the economy, lowering prices, especially the prices of international raw materials/commodities like oil, soybeans, and copper, which are 3 commodities that China relies mainly on imports, and are the three main sources of imported inflation. So if North Korea starts a war, the US Dollar must appreciate significantly, and these 3 commodities will necessarily drop in price significantly, contributing to a drop in prices across the board domestically [in China].

3. China’s current industrial rise has already reached a critical point. At the top, its direct competitors are Japan, Korea, and Europe. Through a North Korean war, it will throw Korea into chaos, disrupt Japan, and massively help the rise and global competitiveness of China’s domestic electronics, microchip, IT, automotive, and shipbuilding industries.
In short, as long as China does not directly deploy troops [get militarily involved], the benefits/advantages are many, and no matter how hot the flames of war burn, it will still first destroy Korea, and then destroy Japan, taking out these two forever wild wolves [no matter how well you treat it, it will never remember your kindness and be dangerous to you].”

Economic ergodicity links

edeast — Mon, 22 Nov 2010 03:59:51 +0000

for future ref.

papers.

pro

davidson 83.

and everything else in the journal of post Keynesian economics,

con, still looking.

Van Der Feltz 88

Blogs

interesting comment by paul davidson, regarding hicks.

Robert Vienneau nonergodic-stationary -random-process

Cosma Shalizi critique also includes a broader critique against pk’s, use of ergodicity.

response

Cosma anti-DSGE

con

brad delong

http://sfb649.wiwi.hu-berlin.de/papers/pdf/SFB649DP2010-012.pdf

http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/arxiv/pdf/0909/0909.1740v2.pdf

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/10/081010081650.htm?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sciencedaily+%28ScienceDaily%3A+Latest+Science+News%29&utm_content=Google+Reader

kauffman

http://www.ibi.ucalgary.ca/people#Kauffman

http://www.edge.org/q2009/q09_1.html#kauffman

http://www.npr.org/blogs/13.7/2010/11/15/131330460/beyond-einstein-and-schrodinger-part-i

Worthwhile Comments

edeast — Sun, 21 Nov 2010 19:52:24 +0000

I left some comments on Nick Rowe’s blog, concerning rational expectations and Paul Davidson’s critique, of the non-ergodic nature of economics. Which I think is a more profound criticism of modeling, however growing impatient for a response, I got into it with Greg Ransom, who was claiming that he could state 5 true things that could not necessarily be mathematically tractable. And I think I get that, Godel’s incompleteness theorem and what not. But I countered with, my pet post-modern information theory hybrid, and he immediately pointed out a gap in my knowledge. Wittgenstein.

quotes from the only book I have ready-to-hand, Stuart Russel, and Peter Norvig’s AI A Modern Approach.

“The world is everything that is the case.”

Truth tables as a method of testing the validity of unsatisfiability of sentences in the language of propositional logic were introduced independently by Wittgenstein 1922 and Emil Post 1921.

The difficulty of providing exact definitions for most natural categories was explained in depth by Wittgenstein (1953) in his book Philosophical Investigations. He used the example of games to show that members of a category shared “family resemblances” rather than necessary and sufficient characteristics.

The idea of language as action stems from 20th century linguistically oriented philosophy. Witgentstein 1953.

Difficulty in providing exact definitions for most natural categories, seems to be close to the point I was trying to make. But maybe that means there would only ever be one instance in each category, using strict formal constructs. So maybe while I think natural language is too loose, the counter-point being formal language is too tight.

But I believe fuzzy logic, and probabilistic reasoning, has the middle ground.

update.

I deleted a paragraph that needlessly criticized models.

The Feynman lectures

edeast — Sat, 15 Aug 2009 04:07:54 +0000

Here is Bill Gates’ present.

Organic vs Inorganic Systems

edeast — Tue, 11 Aug 2009 18:58:19 +0000

In a farewell to alms, Chapter 12, he points to Anthony Wrigley’s work,on the IR being the switch to inorganic production systems, and points out 3 features of organic systems.

1 .Is all outputs drawn from the system have to equal inputs.

2. Efficiency growth is negative, as other biological systems compete eg weeds vs agriculture.

3. Experiment to increase efficiency are difficult to carry out and observe.

Eric Drexler has a post up, referencing his 89 paper, where he describes the differences between the products of design, and the products of evolution. ….

also “generate and test is a metaphor for all evolution” http://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/users/gjs/6.945/readings/robust-systems.p

Narrative

edeast — Tue, 11 Aug 2009 05:45:39 +0000

Is there any neuroscientists who study narrative? Or is there a discipline of neuroscientific literary theory, because a few things lately have peaked my interest. The historical accounts of A Farewell to Alms and Against the Tide, both try to avoid narrative and people’s actions as specific causes to inevitable outcomes. More to say on that later.\

Also just watched a movie Australia, and at the scene where there is a herd of cows about to stampede over a cliff, pushing a boy to his death, he is able to stop them by singing/magic/whatever. It is equal parts predictable:unbelievable. At the time , I wondered what the film would be like if they had just trampled the boy off the cliff. Kind of sick, but would it have become a tarantino film, or what? In No Country for Old Men the director’s do mess with your expectations a bit, by ending the action, a bit early and distal, the climax is delayed and dispersed, and the conclusion, resolves into a mystery that you’re resigned to accept. It isn’t really a pat narrative but it’s similar to real life stories.

And how does narrative affect justice: in The Prestige, you switch from character to character, deals with what information they have, and at the end the killing, has to be somewhat justified. What makes a conclusion to a story seem good and right. Why does that balance come in?

update

Apparently there is something called “Cognitive Literary Criticim”

Economic Moral Complacency

edeast — Tue, 11 Aug 2009 05:08:19 +0000

There is an interview with Joseph Heath in the Walrus, where he describes,

A lot of popular economics books are written by people who are sort of right-wing, centre-right-wing, who are sort of broadly complacent from the moral point of view—they’re morally reconciled to the world. Therefore they approach economics in a kind of whimsical way, where it’s like, “Oh, isn’t it interesting!

That’s just the tone from a Farewell to Alms that I picked up, but I thought maybe Gregory Clark was being deliberately provocative. Mostly in reference to his description of the malthusian era, and death/war/plague being good for income per person. Which is fine but there was a bit of smugness.